Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 978.824459 1116.005550 1271.664531 1462.649309 1692.414692 1962.162409 2306.128245
2025-01-12 760.395572 928.916988 1138.525658 1423.069827 1806.715341 2317.329753 3068.435990
2025-01-19 642.511084 816.566585 1044.967863 1374.576951 1852.015535 2542.126483 3663.054453
2025-01-26 593.090020 781.108175 1040.195581 1436.147404 2050.791632 3015.624140 4753.769309
2025-02-02 547.696790 742.432457 1021.734627 1469.576506 2207.440035 3453.835708 5925.752954
2025-02-09 507.627495 705.135896 998.281229 1488.427036 2340.112023 3879.147393 7225.637410
2025-02-16 467.951714 663.261060 961.519123 1478.206578 2418.223655 4221.570635 8489.503352
2025-02-23 445.410580 644.558933 957.807402 1521.131470 2597.913806 4804.609872 10560.256245
2025-03-02 426.173379 628.685052 956.130022 1566.207371 2789.401227 5465.967079 13186.196409
2025-03-09 403.632985 605.113792 938.573746 1579.003878 2917.729227 6024.237817 15866.649966
2025-03-16 379.163225 576.090785 908.420675 1563.266032 2982.031091 6448.518772 18413.498540
2025-03-23 363.845020 561.017723 901.003484 1590.448224 3146.243109 7182.545042 22635.550074
2025-03-30 337.082706 525.164538 854.450101 1536.037492 3120.171147 7416.685413 25231.334959
2025-04-06 314.083877 494.310502 814.592229 1491.142136 3110.752368 7707.176272 28439.281272
2025-04-13 292.742903 464.756143 774.414776 1440.203538 3076.136921 7911.557116 31493.642630
2025-04-20 287.347237 463.194328 787.020851 1505.500731 3355.819504 9251.125431 42694.086576
2025-04-27 278.855853 455.273299 786.415049 1541.067137 3565.386450 10462.120415 55621.655518
2025-05-04 269.352565 444.731074 779.546041 1561.108085 3736.896398 11629.095602 71208.710531
2025-05-11 257.537771 429.008736 760.782269 1550.239681 3815.079680 12468.364055 86460.252072
2025-05-18 251.897154 424.617451 764.884973 1595.900114 4080.715067 14297.268946 119669.101656
2025-05-25 246.718512 420.716113 769.598313 1643.874386 4369.226542 16460.960384 170430.060474
2025-06-01 238.963342 411.221798 761.481692 1657.498346 4546.871140 18209.411371 228824.616139
2025-06-08 229.337969 397.414857 742.857039 1640.743129 4613.905270 19408.233746 288177.722997